**Onslaught’s opening weekend results have cemented trader consensus around the sub-$2 million bracket.** The A24 action-horror film from Adam Wingard opened to roughly $1.88 million across 1,918 theaters over the three-day frame (about $2.33 million including the four-day Labor Day holiday), well below pre-release tracking and against a reported $15 million budget. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a dismal C CinemaScore from audiences signaled weak word-of-mouth, while competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day further limited its appeal in a post-summer lull. The market’s 99% implied probability on the lowest outcome reflects these verified early grosses and the film’s inability to generate meaningful theatrical momentum. An upset into higher brackets would require a dramatic reversal in audience engagement or significant reallocation of screens—scenarios that appear remote given the current trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Ansturm" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse
<2 Mio. 99.0%
2-3 Mio. 1.3%
3-4 Mio. <1%
4-5 Mio. <1%
$31,033 Vol.
$31,033 Vol.
<2 Mio.
99%
2-3 Mio.
1%
3-4 Mio.
<1%
4-5 Mio.
<1%
5-6 Mio.
<1%
6 Mio.+
<1%
<2 Mio. 99.0%
2-3 Mio. 1.3%
3-4 Mio. <1%
4-5 Mio. <1%
$31,033 Vol.
$31,033 Vol.
<2 Mio.
99%
2-3 Mio.
1%
3-4 Mio.
<1%
4-5 Mio.
<1%
5-6 Mio.
<1%
6 Mio.+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Onslaught’s opening weekend results have cemented trader consensus around the sub-$2 million bracket.** The A24 action-horror film from Adam Wingard opened to roughly $1.88 million across 1,918 theaters over the three-day frame (about $2.33 million including the four-day Labor Day holiday), well below pre-release tracking and against a reported $15 million budget. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a dismal C CinemaScore from audiences signaled weak word-of-mouth, while competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day further limited its appeal in a post-summer lull. The market’s 99% implied probability on the lowest outcome reflects these verified early grosses and the film’s inability to generate meaningful theatrical momentum. An upset into higher brackets would require a dramatic reversal in audience engagement or significant reallocation of screens—scenarios that appear remote given the current trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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