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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz

Julio Cesar 35.7%

Ciro Nogueira 34%

Marcelo Castro 26%

Toinho Dufrango 1.4%

Polymarket

$29,425 Vol.

Julio Cesar 35.7%

Ciro Nogueira 34%

Marcelo Castro 26%

Toinho Dufrango 1.4%

Polymarket

$29,425 Vol.

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$5,069 Vol.

36%

icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$10,275 Vol.

34%

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$5,439 Vol.

26%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$523 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$500 Vol.

1%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$495 Vol.

1%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$541 Vol.

1%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$518 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$504 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$489 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$513 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$483 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) consistently leading the two-seat Senate contest, while Julio Cesar (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) remain closely matched for the second position amid elevated undecided and blank/null rates. Alliances shape the contest, with Julio Cesar drawing backing from the PSD national leadership, President Lula, and Governor Rafael Fonteles, while Ciro Nogueira competes from the opposition side with PP support. August surveys and local fieldwork indicate technical ties or narrow margins among the top three, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late shifts in voter consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or additional endorsements could widen gaps before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$29,425
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) consistently leading the two-seat Senate contest, while Julio Cesar (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) remain closely matched for the second position amid elevated undecided and blank/null rates. Alliances shape the contest, with Julio Cesar drawing backing from the PSD national leadership, President Lula, and Governor Rafael Fonteles, while Ciro Nogueira competes from the opposition side with PP support. August surveys and local fieldwork indicate technical ties or narrow margins among the top three, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late shifts in voter consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or additional endorsements could widen gaps before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$29,425
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

41%
icon for Wird Veneziano bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraíba die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Veneziano bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraíba die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

73%
Ja
icon for Wird Simone Tebet bei der Senatswahl 2026 in São Paulo die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Simone Tebet bei der Senatswahl 2026 in São Paulo die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

29%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Julio Cesar" mit 36%, gefolgt von „Ciro Nogueira" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz" ist „Julio Cesar" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ciro Nogueira" mit 34%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.