Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican advantage in federal contests, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential ticket in 2024. Hagerty faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, secured her party's nod in August but trails significantly in the sole recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point deficit. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts before November or unexpected developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Senatswahl in Tennessee
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.

Bill Hagerty (R)
96%

Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.

Bill Hagerty (R)
96%

Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican advantage in federal contests, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential ticket in 2024. Hagerty faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, secured her party's nod in August but trails significantly in the sole recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point deficit. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts before November or unexpected developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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