The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 2026 midterm contests above historical midterm baselines in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have assigned the highest probability to the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because an open executive contest has historically added several points to participation when paired with contested down-ballot races, while the noncompetitive U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader statewide mobilization. Recent August primaries recorded elevated early voting across the state and a localized Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, signaling modest expansion of the electorate without shifting probabilities into higher bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung
2M-2.2M 47%
1.8M-2M 33.8%
2.2M-2.4M 11%
1.6M-1.8M 7.3%
$10,653 Vol.
$10,653 Vol.
<1.6M
<1%
1.6M-1.8M
7%
1.8M-2M
34%
2M-2.2M
47%
2.2M-2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2.6M+
5%
2M-2.2M 47%
1.8M-2M 33.8%
2.2M-2.4M 11%
1.6M-1.8M 7.3%
$10,653 Vol.
$10,653 Vol.
<1.6M
<1%
1.6M-1.8M
7%
1.8M-2M
34%
2M-2.2M
47%
2.2M-2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2.6M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 2026 midterm contests above historical midterm baselines in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have assigned the highest probability to the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because an open executive contest has historically added several points to participation when paired with contested down-ballot races, while the noncompetitive U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader statewide mobilization. Recent August primaries recorded elevated early voting across the state and a localized Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, signaling modest expansion of the electorate without shifting probabilities into higher bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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