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icon for Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung

3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio. 48%

3M-3,2M 40%

3,4 Mio.–3,6 Mio. 8.6%

2,6M-2,8M 4.5%

Polymarket
NEU

3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio. 48%

3M-3,2M 40%

3,4 Mio.–3,6 Mio. 8.6%

2,6M-2,8M 4.5%

Polymarket
NEU

<2,4 Mio.

$1,247 Vol.

1%

2,4M-2,6M

$77 Vol.

<1%

2,6M-2,8M

$77 Vol.

5%

2,8M-3M

$205 Vol.

4%

3M-3,2M

$1,823 Vol.

40%

3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio.

$550 Vol.

48%

3,4 Mio.–3,6 Mio.

$112 Vol.

9%

3,6 Mio.–3,8 Mio.

$104 Vol.

4%

3,8M+

$104 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus around 3M–3.4M total votes in the New Jersey Senate race reflects the low-competition dynamics of incumbent Democrat Cory Booker facing Republican Justin Murphy in a contest rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Limited campaign intensity since the June primaries, light Republican primary participation, and the structural Democratic registration edge have produced modest mobilization signals, consistent with historical midterm turnout patterns below presidential-year levels. Expanding early and mail voting options, which begin October 24, along with Democratic base strength in urban and suburban areas, support the slight lean toward the 3.2M–3.4M range, while any surge in unaffiliated or suburban participation could shift probabilities within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,297
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus around 3M–3.4M total votes in the New Jersey Senate race reflects the low-competition dynamics of incumbent Democrat Cory Booker facing Republican Justin Murphy in a contest rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Limited campaign intensity since the June primaries, light Republican primary participation, and the structural Democratic registration edge have produced modest mobilization signals, consistent with historical midterm turnout patterns below presidential-year levels. Expanding early and mail voting options, which begin October 24, along with Democratic base strength in urban and suburban areas, support the slight lean toward the 3.2M–3.4M range, while any surge in unaffiliated or suburban participation could shift probabilities within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,297
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Delaware zwischen 375.000 und 400.000 liegen?

Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Delaware zwischen 375.000 und 400.000 liegen?

30%
Ja
icon for Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus North Carolina zwischen 4.100.000 und 4.300.000 liegen?

Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus North Carolina zwischen 4.100.000 und 4.300.000 liegen?

54%
Ja
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?

39%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio." mit 48%, gefolgt von „3M-3,2M" mit 40%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in New Jersey: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio." mit 48%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „3M-3,2M" mit 40%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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