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icon for Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung

2,75 Mio.–2,9 Mio. 33%

2,9M-3,05M 31%

2,6 Mio.–2,75 Mio. 14%

2,45 Mio.–2,6 Mio. 10%

Polymarket
NEU

2,75 Mio.–2,9 Mio. 33%

2,9M-3,05M 31%

2,6 Mio.–2,75 Mio. 14%

2,45 Mio.–2,6 Mio. 10%

Polymarket
NEU

<2M

$156 Vol.

4%

2M-2,15M

$161 Vol.

6%

2,15M-2,3M

$268 Vol.

5%

2,3 Mio.–2,45 Mio.

$145 Vol.

4%

2,45 Mio.–2,6 Mio.

$220 Vol.

10%

2,6 Mio.–2,75 Mio.

$493 Vol.

21%

2,75 Mio.–2,9 Mio.

$308 Vol.

33%

2,9M-3,05M

$676 Vol.

31%

3,05 Mio.+

$283 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with recent polls showing margins of 1-4 points or ties, supports trader consensus around 2.75M-3.05M total votes as the most likely outcome. Minnesota's strong historical midterm participation, averaging near 61% of eligible voters in 2022, aligns with current pricing when adjusted for the open seat after Tina Smith's retirement and elevated interest in a battleground contest. Absence of major late-cycle disruptions or mobilization events has kept probabilities balanced across adjacent ranges, while the race's competitiveness could still lift engagement among independents and base voters ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,709
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with recent polls showing margins of 1-4 points or ties, supports trader consensus around 2.75M-3.05M total votes as the most likely outcome. Minnesota's strong historical midterm participation, averaging near 61% of eligible voters in 2022, aligns with current pricing when adjusted for the open seat after Tina Smith's retirement and elevated interest in a battleground contest. Absence of major late-cycle disruptions or mobilization events has kept probabilities balanced across adjacent ranges, while the race's competitiveness could still lift engagement among independents and base voters ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,709
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?

33%
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

42%
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Werden die Gesamtstimmen, die bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Michigan abgegeben werden, zwischen 4.600.000 und 4.800.000 liegen?

37%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „2,75 Mio.–2,9 Mio." mit 33%, gefolgt von „2,9M-3,05M" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 33¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Minnesota Senatswahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „2,75 Mio.–2,9 Mio." mit 33%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2,9M-3,05M" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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