Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam have committed the government to establishing a state monopoly on weapons through phased Lebanese Armed Forces operations, beginning south of the Litani River, as part of a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework that conditions Israeli withdrawal on verified Hezbollah disarmament. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem has rejected any linkage between withdrawal and disarmament, labeling the deal a humiliation and vowing continued resistance. Implementation has advanced slowly in designated pilot zones with limited weapons seizures, yet Israeli officials assess coordination between the LAF and Hezbollah and question the army’s effectiveness. Upcoming U.S.-mediated talks in Rome in October and the December 31 expiration of the UNIFIL mandate could influence sequencing and verification, while Lebanese authorities emphasize dialogue to avoid internal conflict.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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