Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more Trump-supporting areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties. This change produced Republican registration gains and positioned the district as a Likely Republican contest per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration official, secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has emphasized contrasts with incumbent Darren Soto on tax relief and leadership. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent, though forecasters project a Republican edge reflecting the altered electorate. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$20,556 Vol.
$20,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
63%
Darren Soto (D)
36%
$20,556 Vol.
$20,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
$11,763 Vol.
63%
Darren Soto (D)
$8,794 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more Trump-supporting areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties. This change produced Republican registration gains and positioned the district as a Likely Republican contest per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration official, secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has emphasized contrasts with incumbent Darren Soto on tax relief and leadership. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent, though forecasters project a Republican edge reflecting the altered electorate. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$20,556Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more Trump-supporting areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties. This change produced Republican registration gains and positioned the district as a Likely Republican contest per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration official, secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has emphasized contrasts with incumbent Darren Soto on tax relief and leadership. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent, though forecasters project a Republican edge reflecting the altered electorate. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,556Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incorporating more Trump-supporting areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties. This change produced Republican registration gains and positioned the district as a Likely Republican contest per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration official, secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has emphasized contrasts with incumbent Darren Soto on tax relief and leadership. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent, though forecasters project a Republican edge reflecting the altered electorate. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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