Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to consistent polling leads averaging around seven points and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $60 million raised with tens of millions in reserves. Republican nominee Mike Collins secured the nomination in the June runoff with backing from President Trump after defeating the alternative backed by Governor Brian Kemp, yet the contest remains rated Lean or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Georgia's recent electoral patterns, including Democratic performance in suburban and diverse areas, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Ossoff. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or national political momentum, though structural and financial factors currently favor the incumbent's reelection on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$129,869 Vol.
$129,869 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
93%
Mike Collins (R)
7%
$129,869 Vol.
$129,869 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
$51,351 Vol.
93%
Mike Collins (R)
$78,518 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to consistent polling leads averaging around seven points and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $60 million raised with tens of millions in reserves. Republican nominee Mike Collins secured the nomination in the June runoff with backing from President Trump after defeating the alternative backed by Governor Brian Kemp, yet the contest remains rated Lean or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Georgia's recent electoral patterns, including Democratic performance in suburban and diverse areas, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Ossoff. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or national political momentum, though structural and financial factors currently favor the incumbent's reelection on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$129,869Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to consistent polling leads averaging around seven points and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $60 million raised with tens of millions in reserves. Republican nominee Mike Collins secured the nomination in the June runoff with backing from President Trump after defeating the alternative backed by Governor Brian Kemp, yet the contest remains rated Lean or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Georgia's recent electoral patterns, including Democratic performance in suburban and diverse areas, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Ossoff. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or national political momentum, though structural and financial factors currently favor the incumbent's reelection on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$129,869Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to consistent polling leads averaging around seven points and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $60 million raised with tens of millions in reserves. Republican nominee Mike Collins secured the nomination in the June runoff with backing from President Trump after defeating the alternative backed by Governor Brian Kemp, yet the contest remains rated Lean or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Georgia's recent electoral patterns, including Democratic performance in suburban and diverse areas, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Ossoff. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or national political momentum, though structural and financial factors currently favor the incumbent's reelection on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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