Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader pricing following her 49.5% finish in the August 18 nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. Both advanced under the top-four system to a November 3 general election that uses ranked-choice voting, alongside two additional Republicans. Peltola’s primary margin and subsequent polling averages near or slightly above 50% reflect her established name recognition from the House seat, strong fundraising, and appeal among independents in a state that has shown openness to crossover support. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and Republican base strength in a contest national observers rate as a tossup, though the fragmented Republican field on the ballot limits vote consolidation options before ranked-choice tabulation. No major new developments have shifted positioning since primary results were certified in early September.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Mary Peltola 67%
Senador Dan Sullivan 34%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$478,487 Vol.
$478,487 Vol.
Mary Peltola
67%
Senador Dan Sullivan
34%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 67%
Senador Dan Sullivan 34%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$478,487 Vol.
$478,487 Vol.
Mary Peltola
67%
Senador Dan Sullivan
34%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader pricing following her 49.5% finish in the August 18 nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. Both advanced under the top-four system to a November 3 general election that uses ranked-choice voting, alongside two additional Republicans. Peltola’s primary margin and subsequent polling averages near or slightly above 50% reflect her established name recognition from the House seat, strong fundraising, and appeal among independents in a state that has shown openness to crossover support. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and Republican base strength in a contest national observers rate as a tossup, though the fragmented Republican field on the ballot limits vote consolidation options before ranked-choice tabulation. No major new developments have shifted positioning since primary results were certified in early September.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganarà Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska en 2026?
¿Barrarán los demócratas en las elecciones para el Senado y la Gobernación de Alaska?
¿El total de votos emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026 para el Senador de Alaska estará entre 290,000 y 305,000?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes