Recent xAI Grok 4.6 and 4.5 releases have posted verified HLE scores around 42-43% on August 2026 leaderboards, placing them behind Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (64.7%) and several GPT-5 variants (mid-50s). Traders see 45%+ as reachable through further reasoning optimizations, tool integration, or agentic scaffolding before year-end, while 55%+ or higher faces a steep gap given the benchmark's expert-authored, contamination-resistant questions across math, physics, and other domains. xAI's rapid iteration cadence and focus on frontier reasoning remain key swing factors amid ongoing model releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$63,939 Vol.
45% o más
72%
50% o más
50%
55% o más
36%
60% o más
25%
65% o más
9%
$63,939 Vol.
45% o más
72%
50% o más
50%
55% o más
36%
60% o más
25%
65% o más
9%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Fuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent xAI Grok 4.6 and 4.5 releases have posted verified HLE scores around 42-43% on August 2026 leaderboards, placing them behind Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (64.7%) and several GPT-5 variants (mid-50s). Traders see 45%+ as reachable through further reasoning optimizations, tool integration, or agentic scaffolding before year-end, while 55%+ or higher faces a steep gap given the benchmark's expert-authored, contamination-resistant questions across math, physics, and other domains. xAI's rapid iteration cadence and focus on frontier reasoning remain key swing factors amid ongoing model releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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