Recent incidents have shaped trader views toward 5–7 total downtime days for Claude services in September. Partial outages and elevated errors affected specific models including Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 11–15, alongside shorter disruptions to the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork on September 3, 10, and 16. These align with Anthropic’s reported infrastructure strains under growing demand for its large language models. As of September 18, all major components show operational status with only minor subscription issues noted. With roughly 12 days remaining, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued intermittent problems rather than widespread multi-day failures, tempered by the company’s rapid resolution patterns in prior weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado5-7 62%
8-10 33%
11-13 4.9%
14+ 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
<5
2%
5-7
62%
8-10
33%
11-13
5%
14+
3%
5-7 62%
8-10 33%
11-13 4.9%
14+ 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
<5
$1,905 Vol.
2%
5-7
$3,578 Vol.
62%
8-10
$1,339 Vol.
33%
11-13
$936 Vol.
5%
14+
$677 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents have shaped trader views toward 5–7 total downtime days for Claude services in September. Partial outages and elevated errors affected specific models including Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 11–15, alongside shorter disruptions to the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork on September 3, 10, and 16. These align with Anthropic’s reported infrastructure strains under growing demand for its large language models. As of September 18, all major components show operational status with only minor subscription issues noted. With roughly 12 days remaining, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued intermittent problems rather than widespread multi-day failures, tempered by the company’s rapid resolution patterns in prior weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$8,435Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents have shaped trader views toward 5–7 total downtime days for Claude services in September. Partial outages and elevated errors affected specific models including Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 11–15, alongside shorter disruptions to the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork on September 3, 10, and 16. These align with Anthropic’s reported infrastructure strains under growing demand for its large language models. As of September 18, all major components show operational status with only minor subscription issues noted. With roughly 12 days remaining, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued intermittent problems rather than widespread multi-day failures, tempered by the company’s rapid resolution patterns in prior weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$8,435Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent incidents have shaped trader views toward 5–7 total downtime days for Claude services in September. Partial outages and elevated errors affected specific models including Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 11–15, alongside shorter disruptions to the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork on September 3, 10, and 16. These align with Anthropic’s reported infrastructure strains under growing demand for its large language models. As of September 18, all major components show operational status with only minor subscription issues noted. With roughly 12 days remaining, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued intermittent problems rather than widespread multi-day failures, tempered by the company’s rapid resolution patterns in prior weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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