Recent AI breakthroughs in formal mathematical reasoning, including OpenAI’s September 2026 solution of the Navier-Stokes problem via thousands of coordinated agents and Lean-verified proofs, have elevated expectations that large language models and multi-agent systems will tackle additional Millennium Prize Problems by late 2027. Trader sentiment favors the Hodge Conjecture at 42.5% implied probability due to parallel advances in algebraic geometry, such as AI-assisted resolutions of related Hilbert-function questions and geometry benchmarks, positioning it as the most accessible target for current model architectures. Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer at 20.5% reflects ongoing number-theory work aided by LLMs, while the 15% chance of no further solutions by the deadline accounts for verification timelines, potential proof gaps, and the inherent difficulty of problems like Yang-Mills or Riemann. Lower odds for P versus NP underscore its computational complexity barriers despite broader AI progress.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoConjetura de Hodge 43%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer 21%
Sin solución antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 15%
Yang-Mills 5.8%
$51,214 Vol.
$51,214 Vol.
Conjetura de Hodge
43%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer
21%
Sin solución antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
15%
Yang-Mills
14%
Hipótesis de Riemann
4%
P versus NP
1%
Conjetura de Hodge 43%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer 21%
Sin solución antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 15%
Yang-Mills 5.8%
$51,214 Vol.
$51,214 Vol.
Conjetura de Hodge
43%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer
21%
Sin solución antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
15%
Yang-Mills
14%
Hipótesis de Riemann
4%
P versus NP
1%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AI breakthroughs in formal mathematical reasoning, including OpenAI’s September 2026 solution of the Navier-Stokes problem via thousands of coordinated agents and Lean-verified proofs, have elevated expectations that large language models and multi-agent systems will tackle additional Millennium Prize Problems by late 2027. Trader sentiment favors the Hodge Conjecture at 42.5% implied probability due to parallel advances in algebraic geometry, such as AI-assisted resolutions of related Hilbert-function questions and geometry benchmarks, positioning it as the most accessible target for current model architectures. Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer at 20.5% reflects ongoing number-theory work aided by LLMs, while the 15% chance of no further solutions by the deadline accounts for verification timelines, potential proof gaps, and the inherent difficulty of problems like Yang-Mills or Riemann. Lower odds for P versus NP underscore its computational complexity barriers despite broader AI progress.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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