Mike Quigley’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Illinois’s 5th Congressional District reflects the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+19, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to an upset, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
5%
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
$8,976 Vol.
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
$16,296 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Quigley’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Illinois’s 5th Congressional District reflects the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+19, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to an upset, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,272Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Quigley’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Illinois’s 5th Congressional District reflects the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+19, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to an upset, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,272Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Quigley’s commanding position as the heavy favorite in Illinois’s 5th Congressional District reflects the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+19, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to an upset, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes