Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Republican Randall Arrington and Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3 open primary, with a potential December 12 runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Scalise's commanding position reflects the district's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, and endorsements including from former President Trump. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural partisan advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Partido Demócrata
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Republican Randall Arrington and Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3 open primary, with a potential December 12 runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Scalise's commanding position reflects the district's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, and endorsements including from former President Trump. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural partisan advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$52,223Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Republican Randall Arrington and Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3 open primary, with a potential December 12 runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Scalise's commanding position reflects the district's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, and endorsements including from former President Trump. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural partisan advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,223Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Republican Randall Arrington and Democrat Lauren Jewett in the November 3 open primary, with a potential December 12 runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Scalise's commanding position reflects the district's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, and endorsements including from former President Trump. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural partisan advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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