Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
5%
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
$20,975 Vol.
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
$24,908 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$45,882Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,882Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, her decisive primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote in June 2026, and substantial fundraising edge. Independent forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions, with limited volatility expected absent unforeseen developments such as a national political shift or late-cycle events that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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