Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, the district’s consistent Democratic lean including Portland and coastal areas, and her 2024 victory over the same Republican nominee by roughly 20 points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary challenger. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in June after a narrow primary win but faces structural headwinds in a district last held by a Republican in the mid-1990s. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoME-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
ME-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,038 Vol.
$45,038 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
3%
$45,038 Vol.
$45,038 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
$30,137 Vol.
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
$14,900 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, the district’s consistent Democratic lean including Portland and coastal areas, and her 2024 victory over the same Republican nominee by roughly 20 points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary challenger. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in June after a narrow primary win but faces structural headwinds in a district last held by a Republican in the mid-1990s. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, though such developments remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$45,038Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, the district’s consistent Democratic lean including Portland and coastal areas, and her 2024 victory over the same Republican nominee by roughly 20 points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary challenger. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in June after a narrow primary win but faces structural headwinds in a district last held by a Republican in the mid-1990s. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, though such developments remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,038Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, the district’s consistent Democratic lean including Portland and coastal areas, and her 2024 victory over the same Republican nominee by roughly 20 points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary challenger. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in June after a narrow primary win but faces structural headwinds in a district last held by a Republican in the mid-1990s. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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