Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead at 35–46 percent, leaving the second-place contest among fragmented opposition parties. PAN has posted the strongest consistent results in national surveys through August 2026, typically ahead of or tied with PRI and MC in the low-to-mid teens, while PVEM, PT, and newer groups trail further behind. The PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI has not eroded its relative position, and local electoral calculations in several states continue to favor it as the most viable opposition vehicle. Traders therefore assign PAN the clear majority probability for finishing second, reflecting the stable gap between Morena and the rest of the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 78%
PRI 15.2%
PVEM 5%
MC 4.3%
$82,512 Vol.
$82,512 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
78%
PRI
15%
PT
<1%
PVEM
5%
MC
4%
Morena
1%
PAN 78%
PRI 15.2%
PVEM 5%
MC 4.3%
$82,512 Vol.
$82,512 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
$37,938 Vol.
78%
PRI
$14,277 Vol.
15%
PT
$7,974 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,628 Vol.
5%
MC
$4,520 Vol.
4%
Morena
$5,174 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead at 35–46 percent, leaving the second-place contest among fragmented opposition parties. PAN has posted the strongest consistent results in national surveys through August 2026, typically ahead of or tied with PRI and MC in the low-to-mid teens, while PVEM, PT, and newer groups trail further behind. The PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI has not eroded its relative position, and local electoral calculations in several states continue to favor it as the most viable opposition vehicle. Traders therefore assign PAN the clear majority probability for finishing second, reflecting the stable gap between Morena and the rest of the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volumen
$82,512Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead at 35–46 percent, leaving the second-place contest among fragmented opposition parties. PAN has posted the strongest consistent results in national surveys through August 2026, typically ahead of or tied with PRI and MC in the low-to-mid teens, while PVEM, PT, and newer groups trail further behind. The PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI has not eroded its relative position, and local electoral calculations in several states continue to favor it as the most viable opposition vehicle. Traders therefore assign PAN the clear majority probability for finishing second, reflecting the stable gap between Morena and the rest of the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volumen
$82,512Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead at 35–46 percent, leaving the second-place contest among fragmented opposition parties. PAN has posted the strongest consistent results in national surveys through August 2026, typically ahead of or tied with PRI and MC in the low-to-mid teens, while PVEM, PT, and newer groups trail further behind. The PAN’s decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI has not eroded its relative position, and local electoral calculations in several states continue to favor it as the most viable opposition vehicle. Traders therefore assign PAN the clear majority probability for finishing second, reflecting the stable gap between Morena and the rest of the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes