Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by her reelection history, a district Cook Partisan Voter Index now at D+4, and a significant fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Terri DeBoer. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Democratic, with models projecting double-digit margins consistent with the 93.5% trader consensus on Scholten. DeBoer's August primary win and recent ad launches have not shifted the fundamentals, as the Republican challenge remains constrained by the district's partisan lean and Scholten's established donor base. Late national political swings, major scandals, or health developments could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
94%
Terri DeBoer (R)
6%
$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
$16,430 Vol.
94%
Terri DeBoer (R)
$5,002 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by her reelection history, a district Cook Partisan Voter Index now at D+4, and a significant fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Terri DeBoer. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Democratic, with models projecting double-digit margins consistent with the 93.5% trader consensus on Scholten. DeBoer's August primary win and recent ad launches have not shifted the fundamentals, as the Republican challenge remains constrained by the district's partisan lean and Scholten's established donor base. Late national political swings, major scandals, or health developments could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$21,432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by her reelection history, a district Cook Partisan Voter Index now at D+4, and a significant fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Terri DeBoer. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Democratic, with models projecting double-digit margins consistent with the 93.5% trader consensus on Scholten. DeBoer's August primary win and recent ad launches have not shifted the fundamentals, as the Republican challenge remains constrained by the district's partisan lean and Scholten's established donor base. Late national political swings, major scandals, or health developments could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by her reelection history, a district Cook Partisan Voter Index now at D+4, and a significant fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Terri DeBoer. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Democratic, with models projecting double-digit margins consistent with the 93.5% trader consensus on Scholten. DeBoer's August primary win and recent ad launches have not shifted the fundamentals, as the Republican challenge remains constrained by the district's partisan lean and Scholten's established donor base. Late national political swings, major scandals, or health developments could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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