Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a narrow edge over Democratic state senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, a Lean Republican seat where traders price the race as competitive. Huizenga’s incumbency and the district’s recent voting patterns provide structural support, while McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising and a June 2026 poll showing him ahead by three points. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the August primaries. Limited public polling since then leaves the outcome sensitive to national midterm dynamics, campaign spending in the final weeks, and turnout among independents in the southwestern Michigan counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
55%
Sean McCann (D)
44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
$3,395 Vol.
55%
Sean McCann (D)
$4,461 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a narrow edge over Democratic state senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, a Lean Republican seat where traders price the race as competitive. Huizenga’s incumbency and the district’s recent voting patterns provide structural support, while McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising and a June 2026 poll showing him ahead by three points. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the August primaries. Limited public polling since then leaves the outcome sensitive to national midterm dynamics, campaign spending in the final weeks, and turnout among independents in the southwestern Michigan counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$7,855Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a narrow edge over Democratic state senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, a Lean Republican seat where traders price the race as competitive. Huizenga’s incumbency and the district’s recent voting patterns provide structural support, while McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising and a June 2026 poll showing him ahead by three points. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the August primaries. Limited public polling since then leaves the outcome sensitive to national midterm dynamics, campaign spending in the final weeks, and turnout among independents in the southwestern Michigan counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,855Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a narrow edge over Democratic state senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, a Lean Republican seat where traders price the race as competitive. Huizenga’s incumbency and the district’s recent voting patterns provide structural support, while McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising and a June 2026 poll showing him ahead by three points. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the August primaries. Limited public polling since then leaves the outcome sensitive to national midterm dynamics, campaign spending in the final weeks, and turnout among independents in the southwestern Michigan counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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