The Chicago White Sox hold a narrow 1.5-game lead over the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central with roughly two weeks remaining, driving their 62.8% implied probability as traders price in the division's current standings and remaining schedule. White Sox recent offensive output and home/road splits have sustained their edge despite a late-September slump that erased a much larger August advantage, while Cleveland's stronger pitching depth and head-to-head results keep them within striking distance at 36%. The Twins, Tigers, and Royals trail by six or more games with minimal realistic paths remaining, reflected in their sub-1% odds. Schedule strength, bullpen health, and any late roster moves will determine final positioning in this tightly contested race.