Pat Harrigan, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 10th district race due to the seat's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican control since 1969, and strong primary performance where he secured 87.7% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure in the district covering Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Yadkin, and parts of Forsyth counties. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge—over $1 million raised versus roughly $84,000 for Democratic nominee Ashley Bell—further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. A narrow path for Bell would require unexpected national political shifts, significant turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in the Winston-Salem area, or late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara NC-10
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara NC-10
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
$3,831 Vol.
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
$4,689 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 10th district race due to the seat's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican control since 1969, and strong primary performance where he secured 87.7% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure in the district covering Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Yadkin, and parts of Forsyth counties. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge—over $1 million raised versus roughly $84,000 for Democratic nominee Ashley Bell—further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. A narrow path for Bell would require unexpected national political shifts, significant turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in the Winston-Salem area, or late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$8,520Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 10th district race due to the seat's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican control since 1969, and strong primary performance where he secured 87.7% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure in the district covering Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Yadkin, and parts of Forsyth counties. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge—over $1 million raised versus roughly $84,000 for Democratic nominee Ashley Bell—further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. A narrow path for Bell would require unexpected national political shifts, significant turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in the Winston-Salem area, or late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,520Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Harrigan, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 10th district race due to the seat's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican control since 1969, and strong primary performance where he secured 87.7% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure in the district covering Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Yadkin, and parts of Forsyth counties. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge—over $1 million raised versus roughly $84,000 for Democratic nominee Ashley Bell—further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. A narrow path for Bell would require unexpected national political shifts, significant turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in the Winston-Salem area, or late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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