Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean shown in recent presidential and gubernatorial results. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Low-probability developments that could narrow the gap include major candidate scandals, significant national economic or political shocks altering turnout patterns, or unexpected late endorsements shifting voter coalitions in suburban Morris and Essex counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
$42,532 Vol.
$42,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
5%
$42,532 Vol.
$42,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 Vol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$18,917 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean shown in recent presidential and gubernatorial results. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Low-probability developments that could narrow the gap include major candidate scandals, significant national economic or political shocks altering turnout patterns, or unexpected late endorsements shifting voter coalitions in suburban Morris and Essex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$42,532Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean shown in recent presidential and gubernatorial results. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Low-probability developments that could narrow the gap include major candidate scandals, significant national economic or political shocks altering turnout patterns, or unexpected late endorsements shifting voter coalitions in suburban Morris and Essex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,532Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean shown in recent presidential and gubernatorial results. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Low-probability developments that could narrow the gap include major candidate scandals, significant national economic or political shocks altering turnout patterns, or unexpected late endorsements shifting voter coalitions in suburban Morris and Essex counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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