Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election. The district’s solidly Republican rating, LaLota’s established record since 2023, and his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand have reinforced trader positioning. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran who won his June primary, faces added pressure from recent reports of archived explicit modeling images that have drawn campaign scrutiny. These factors, alongside the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles, align with the current implied probabilities favoring the Republican incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
$43,500 Vol.
$43,500 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
29%
$43,500 Vol.
$43,500 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,753 Vol.
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,747 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election. The district’s solidly Republican rating, LaLota’s established record since 2023, and his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand have reinforced trader positioning. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran who won his June primary, faces added pressure from recent reports of archived explicit modeling images that have drawn campaign scrutiny. These factors, alongside the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles, align with the current implied probabilities favoring the Republican incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$43,500Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election. The district’s solidly Republican rating, LaLota’s established record since 2023, and his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand have reinforced trader positioning. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran who won his June primary, faces added pressure from recent reports of archived explicit modeling images that have drawn campaign scrutiny. These factors, alongside the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles, align with the current implied probabilities favoring the Republican incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,500Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election. The district’s solidly Republican rating, LaLota’s established record since 2023, and his substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand have reinforced trader positioning. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran who won his June primary, faces added pressure from recent reports of archived explicit modeling images that have drawn campaign scrutiny. These factors, alongside the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles, align with the current implied probabilities favoring the Republican incumbent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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