Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-06
$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
6%
$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
$10,037 Vol.
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$21,609Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,609Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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