Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin, drawing strong support from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, positioning Lander as the prohibitive favorite heading into the November general election against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage, with minimal movement since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to low-probability events such as a major late-campaign development or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make significant shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Brad Lander (D)
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
<1%
$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Brad Lander (D)
$16,749 Vol.
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
$37,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin, drawing strong support from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, positioning Lander as the prohibitive favorite heading into the November general election against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage, with minimal movement since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to low-probability events such as a major late-campaign development or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make significant shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$53,925Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin, drawing strong support from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, positioning Lander as the prohibitive favorite heading into the November general election against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage, with minimal movement since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to low-probability events such as a major late-campaign development or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make significant shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$53,925Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Representative Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin, drawing strong support from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, positioning Lander as the prohibitive favorite heading into the November general election against Republican nominee Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage, with minimal movement since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to low-probability events such as a major late-campaign development or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make significant shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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