Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried it by 8.5 points and by mid-decade redistricting that favors the GOP. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Balderson’s incumbency advantage and unopposed primary path. His campaign has raised over $1.7 million compared with Democratic nominee Jerrad Christian’s roughly $84,000, limiting the challenger’s visibility in a district spanning rural and suburban counties east of Columbus. Traders appear to view an upset as unlikely absent a broad national Democratic surge or late-breaking developments that have not materialized in recent months. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-12
$37,504 Vol.
$37,504 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Troy Balderson (R)
95%
Jerrad Christian (D)
5%
$37,504 Vol.
$37,504 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Troy Balderson (R)
$24,472 Vol.
95%
Jerrad Christian (D)
$13,033 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried it by 8.5 points and by mid-decade redistricting that favors the GOP. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Balderson’s incumbency advantage and unopposed primary path. His campaign has raised over $1.7 million compared with Democratic nominee Jerrad Christian’s roughly $84,000, limiting the challenger’s visibility in a district spanning rural and suburban counties east of Columbus. Traders appear to view an upset as unlikely absent a broad national Democratic surge or late-breaking developments that have not materialized in recent months. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$37,504Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried it by 8.5 points and by mid-decade redistricting that favors the GOP. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Balderson’s incumbency advantage and unopposed primary path. His campaign has raised over $1.7 million compared with Democratic nominee Jerrad Christian’s roughly $84,000, limiting the challenger’s visibility in a district spanning rural and suburban counties east of Columbus. Traders appear to view an upset as unlikely absent a broad national Democratic surge or late-breaking developments that have not materialized in recent months. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,504Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried it by 8.5 points and by mid-decade redistricting that favors the GOP. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing Balderson’s incumbency advantage and unopposed primary path. His campaign has raised over $1.7 million compared with Democratic nominee Jerrad Christian’s roughly $84,000, limiting the challenger’s visibility in a district spanning rural and suburban counties east of Columbus. Traders appear to view an upset as unlikely absent a broad national Democratic surge or late-breaking developments that have not materialized in recent months. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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