**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura de "Onslaught"
<2 millones 98.2%
2-3 millones <1%
3-4 millones <1%
4-5 millones <1%
$32,555 Vol.
$32,555 Vol.
<2 millones
98%
2-3 millones
1%
3-4 millones
<1%
4-5 millones
<1%
5-6 millones
<1%
6 millones o más
<1%
<2 millones 98.2%
2-3 millones <1%
3-4 millones <1%
4-5 millones <1%
$32,555 Vol.
$32,555 Vol.
<2 millones
98%
2-3 millones
1%
3-4 millones
<1%
4-5 millones
<1%
5-6 millones
<1%
6 millones o más
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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