The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, near its August high of 7,816.70 after gaining roughly 19% over the prior year. Trader sentiment for year-end levels centers on resilient corporate earnings, with consensus estimates projecting 20-24% EPS growth for 2026 driven largely by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers. Strong August payrolls data exceeding expectations have pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8% and raised odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes, tempering enthusiasm despite solid economic momentum. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI and PPI releases plus the mid-month FOMC meeting, which could clarify the policy path amid elevated inflation readings. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting optimism on earnings offset by valuation sensitivity to higher rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$339,694 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
61%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
72%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,694 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
4%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,783 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
61%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$5 Vol.
72%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
36%
↓ $6,200
$53,013 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,898 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, near its August high of 7,816.70 after gaining roughly 19% over the prior year. Trader sentiment for year-end levels centers on resilient corporate earnings, with consensus estimates projecting 20-24% EPS growth for 2026 driven largely by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers. Strong August payrolls data exceeding expectations have pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8% and raised odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes, tempering enthusiasm despite solid economic momentum. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI and PPI releases plus the mid-month FOMC meeting, which could clarify the policy path amid elevated inflation readings. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting optimism on earnings offset by valuation sensitivity to higher rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$339,694Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, near its August high of 7,816.70 after gaining roughly 19% over the prior year. Trader sentiment for year-end levels centers on resilient corporate earnings, with consensus estimates projecting 20-24% EPS growth for 2026 driven largely by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers. Strong August payrolls data exceeding expectations have pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8% and raised odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes, tempering enthusiasm despite solid economic momentum. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI and PPI releases plus the mid-month FOMC meeting, which could clarify the policy path amid elevated inflation readings. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting optimism on earnings offset by valuation sensitivity to higher rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$339,694Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, near its August high of 7,816.70 after gaining roughly 19% over the prior year. Trader sentiment for year-end levels centers on resilient corporate earnings, with consensus estimates projecting 20-24% EPS growth for 2026 driven largely by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers. Strong August payrolls data exceeding expectations have pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8% and raised odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes, tempering enthusiasm despite solid economic momentum. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI and PPI releases plus the mid-month FOMC meeting, which could clarify the policy path amid elevated inflation readings. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting optimism on earnings offset by valuation sensitivity to higher rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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