Traders see the 4B–5B bracket as the leading outcome for Strava’s first-day closing market cap because the fitness platform’s last private mark sits at $2.2 billion, while its subscription revenue nears $500 million annually and its 180 million user base offers room for higher multiples once a public filing lands. Recent board additions with direct-listing experience and tighter API controls signal IPO readiness after the missed spring 2026 window, yet persistent uncertainty over free-to-paid conversion and broader consumer-health sentiment keeps the 15B+ bucket as a secondary trader favorite. The low probability on no IPO before 2028 reflects ongoing S-1 preparations and favorable market conditions for listings, though exact pricing remains tied to audited growth metrics and roadshow reception.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLímite de mercado de cierre de IPO de Strava
Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO de Strava
2B–3B 30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones 17.7%
15 mil millones+ 14.0%
10B–15B 5.7%
$91,100 Vol.
$91,100 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
8%
2B–3B
30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
18%
4B–5B
39%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
20%
10B–15B
6%
15 mil millones+
17%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
7%
2B–3B 30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones 17.7%
15 mil millones+ 14.0%
10B–15B 5.7%
$91,100 Vol.
$91,100 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
$992 Vol.
8%
2B–3B
$54,549 Vol.
30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
$27,886 Vol.
18%
4B–5B
$1,422 Vol.
39%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
$1,067 Vol.
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
$1,226 Vol.
20%
10B–15B
$1,776 Vol.
6%
15 mil millones+
$1,464 Vol.
17%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$789 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see the 4B–5B bracket as the leading outcome for Strava’s first-day closing market cap because the fitness platform’s last private mark sits at $2.2 billion, while its subscription revenue nears $500 million annually and its 180 million user base offers room for higher multiples once a public filing lands. Recent board additions with direct-listing experience and tighter API controls signal IPO readiness after the missed spring 2026 window, yet persistent uncertainty over free-to-paid conversion and broader consumer-health sentiment keeps the 15B+ bucket as a secondary trader favorite. The low probability on no IPO before 2028 reflects ongoing S-1 preparations and favorable market conditions for listings, though exact pricing remains tied to audited growth metrics and roadshow reception.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$91,100Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see the 4B–5B bracket as the leading outcome for Strava’s first-day closing market cap because the fitness platform’s last private mark sits at $2.2 billion, while its subscription revenue nears $500 million annually and its 180 million user base offers room for higher multiples once a public filing lands. Recent board additions with direct-listing experience and tighter API controls signal IPO readiness after the missed spring 2026 window, yet persistent uncertainty over free-to-paid conversion and broader consumer-health sentiment keeps the 15B+ bucket as a secondary trader favorite. The low probability on no IPO before 2028 reflects ongoing S-1 preparations and favorable market conditions for listings, though exact pricing remains tied to audited growth metrics and roadshow reception.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$91,100Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders see the 4B–5B bracket as the leading outcome for Strava’s first-day closing market cap because the fitness platform’s last private mark sits at $2.2 billion, while its subscription revenue nears $500 million annually and its 180 million user base offers room for higher multiples once a public filing lands. Recent board additions with direct-listing experience and tighter API controls signal IPO readiness after the missed spring 2026 window, yet persistent uncertainty over free-to-paid conversion and broader consumer-health sentiment keeps the 15B+ bucket as a secondary trader favorite. The low probability on no IPO before 2028 reflects ongoing S-1 preparations and favorable market conditions for listings, though exact pricing remains tied to audited growth metrics and roadshow reception.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes