A fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates, including FAST and HRPP nominees alongside multiple independents, is sustaining even odds across most contenders ahead of the 18 September by-election for Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 seat. The contest follows the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result after convictions for corrupt practices against the prior winner and challenger, with the Court of Appeal upholding that decision and barring both from standing again. Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia of FAST holds the highest implied probability among named options, followed by HRPP’s Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and independent Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, while Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni and others trail. Pre-polling on 16 September and any late endorsements or constituency-specific mobilization could shift support before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
48%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
7%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
48%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates, including FAST and HRPP nominees alongside multiple independents, is sustaining even odds across most contenders ahead of the 18 September by-election for Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 seat. The contest follows the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result after convictions for corrupt practices against the prior winner and challenger, with the Court of Appeal upholding that decision and barring both from standing again. Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia of FAST holds the highest implied probability among named options, followed by HRPP’s Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and independent Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, while Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni and others trail. Pre-polling on 16 September and any late endorsements or constituency-specific mobilization could shift support before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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