Mark Warner holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate election, backed by consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Virginia's partisan environment favors Democrats, with no Republican Senate victory in more than two decades and recent statewide results showing structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Warner benefits from substantial fundraising, high name recognition from prior roles including governor, and a Senate Intelligence Committee profile. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Mizusawa's military background and primary performance provide a standard challenger profile but have not narrowed the gap in available surveys. Late developments such as shifts in national conditions, debate outcomes, or unexpected turnout patterns in battleground areas could still influence final margins before early voting begins in mid-September.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Virginia
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Virginia
$23,148 Vol.
$23,148 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Warner (D)
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
5%
$23,148 Vol.
$23,148 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Warner (D)
$15,894 Vol.
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
$7,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate election, backed by consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Virginia's partisan environment favors Democrats, with no Republican Senate victory in more than two decades and recent statewide results showing structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Warner benefits from substantial fundraising, high name recognition from prior roles including governor, and a Senate Intelligence Committee profile. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Mizusawa's military background and primary performance provide a standard challenger profile but have not narrowed the gap in available surveys. Late developments such as shifts in national conditions, debate outcomes, or unexpected turnout patterns in battleground areas could still influence final margins before early voting begins in mid-September.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$23,148Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate election, backed by consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Virginia's partisan environment favors Democrats, with no Republican Senate victory in more than two decades and recent statewide results showing structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Warner benefits from substantial fundraising, high name recognition from prior roles including governor, and a Senate Intelligence Committee profile. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Mizusawa's military background and primary performance provide a standard challenger profile but have not narrowed the gap in available surveys. Late developments such as shifts in national conditions, debate outcomes, or unexpected turnout patterns in battleground areas could still influence final margins before early voting begins in mid-September.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$23,148Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Warner holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 2026 Virginia Senate election, backed by consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Virginia's partisan environment favors Democrats, with no Republican Senate victory in more than two decades and recent statewide results showing structural advantages in turnout and voter registration. Warner benefits from substantial fundraising, high name recognition from prior roles including governor, and a Senate Intelligence Committee profile. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Mizusawa's military background and primary performance provide a standard challenger profile but have not narrowed the gap in available surveys. Late developments such as shifts in national conditions, debate outcomes, or unexpected turnout patterns in battleground areas could still influence final margins before early voting begins in mid-September.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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