**Hezbollah has repeatedly rejected disarmament, with leader Naim Qassem calling framework proposals humiliating and vowing to retain weapons.** A June 2026 US-brokered Israel-Lebanon agreement ties Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon to verified disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, but implementation has stalled amid Israeli strikes, limited army effectiveness, and Hezbollah coordination concerns. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun describes state weapons monopoly as non-negotiable yet insists on a peaceful process without civil war, while phased army operations south of the Litani River have produced partial results. October 2026 Rome talks and the December 31 end of UNIFIL’s mandate represent near-term pressure points, yet trader consensus reflects Hezbollah’s consistent opposition and the high barriers to an official leadership announcement.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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