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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 28%

Alexander Zverev 22.1%

Arthur Fils 8.9%

Taylor Fritz 7.8%

Polymarket

$12,832,247 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 28%

Alexander Zverev 22.1%

Arthur Fils 8.9%

Taylor Fritz 7.8%

Polymarket

$12,832,247 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,071,368 Vol.

28%

Alexander Zverev

$551,526 Vol.

22%

Arthur Fils

$619,373 Vol.

9%

Taylor Fritz

$481,622 Vol.

8%

Ben Shelton

$482,696 Vol.

7%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$945,896 Vol.

4%

Daniil Medvedev

$488,645 Vol.

4%

Jakub Mensik

$474,951 Vol.

3%

Frances Tiafoe

$417,335 Vol.

3%

Flavio Cobolli

$408,245 Vol.

2%

Lorenzo Musetti

$522,096 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$599,278 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$355,357 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$435,967 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$544,791 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$936,428 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$401,759 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev head the 2026 US Open winner market as the leading contenders following Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury and Novak Djokovic’s first-round upset loss. Alcaraz, returning after a four-month wrist layoff, brings proven hard-court dominance and strong 2026 results including an Australian Open title run, while Zverev carries momentum from his French Open crown and Wimbledon final on the back of a high win total this season. Arthur Fils, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz sit close behind, benefiting from an open draw and recent form gains on the hard courts. The tight pricing reflects a deep field where ranking points, head-to-head history on the surface, and fitness variables keep multiple outcomes competitive through the later rounds.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,832,247
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev head the 2026 US Open winner market as the leading contenders following Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury and Novak Djokovic’s first-round upset loss. Alcaraz, returning after a four-month wrist layoff, brings proven hard-court dominance and strong 2026 results including an Australian Open title run, while Zverev carries momentum from his French Open crown and Wimbledon final on the back of a high win total this season. Arthur Fils, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz sit close behind, benefiting from an open draw and recent form gains on the hard courts. The tight pricing reflects a deep field where ranking points, head-to-head history on the surface, and fitness variables keep multiple outcomes competitive through the later rounds.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,832,247
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 28%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $12.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.