The tight clustering of probabilities for the 2026 MLS runner-up reflects a season where Nashville SC holds a commanding Eastern Conference lead on 53 points while Vancouver Whitecaps anchor the West with 43, yet neither has separated as a clear frontrunner for the MLS Cup final. Inter Miami CF’s high-scoring attack and Chicago Fire FC’s solid mid-table surge keep Eastern options open, while LAFC, Houston Dynamo FC, and FC Dallas maintain Western contention through strong goal differentials and recent results. With roughly half the regular season remaining and playoff seeding fluid across both conferences, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly uncertain, as any of several teams could advance deep into the postseason depending on form, injuries, and head-to-head matchups in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 19%
Nashville SC 16%
Chicago Fire FC 13%
Inter Miami CF
20%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
19%
Nashville SC
16%
Chicago Fire FC
13%
Los Angeles FC
12%
Houston Dynamo FC
8%
FC Dallas
6%
FC Cincinnati
6%
Charlotte FC
5%
New England Revolution
5%
St. Louis City SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
3%
Columbus Crew
3%
Real Salt Lake
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
New York Red Bulls
3%
LA Galaxy
3%
Portland Timbers
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Colorado Rapids
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
CF Montréal
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Austin FC
2%
New York City FC
2%
D.C. United
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
Inter Miami CF 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 19%
Nashville SC 16%
Chicago Fire FC 13%
Inter Miami CF
20%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
19%
Nashville SC
16%
Chicago Fire FC
13%
Los Angeles FC
12%
Houston Dynamo FC
8%
FC Dallas
6%
FC Cincinnati
6%
Charlotte FC
5%
New England Revolution
5%
St. Louis City SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
3%
Columbus Crew
3%
Real Salt Lake
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
New York Red Bulls
3%
LA Galaxy
3%
Portland Timbers
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Colorado Rapids
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
CF Montréal
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Austin FC
2%
New York City FC
2%
D.C. United
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities for the 2026 MLS runner-up reflects a season where Nashville SC holds a commanding Eastern Conference lead on 53 points while Vancouver Whitecaps anchor the West with 43, yet neither has separated as a clear frontrunner for the MLS Cup final. Inter Miami CF’s high-scoring attack and Chicago Fire FC’s solid mid-table surge keep Eastern options open, while LAFC, Houston Dynamo FC, and FC Dallas maintain Western contention through strong goal differentials and recent results. With roughly half the regular season remaining and playoff seeding fluid across both conferences, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly uncertain, as any of several teams could advance deep into the postseason depending on form, injuries, and head-to-head matchups in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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