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icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

Atlanta Hawks 21%

Boston Celtics 21%

Charlotte Hornets 21%

Chicago Bulls 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Atlanta Hawks 21%

Boston Celtics 21%

Charlotte Hornets 21%

Chicago Bulls 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

21%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

21%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

21%

Chicago Bulls

$0 Vol.

21%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

21%

Dallas Mavericks

$0 Vol.

21%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

21%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

21%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

21%

Indiana Pacers

$0 Vol.

21%

Los Angeles Clippers

$0 Vol.

21%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

21%

Memphis Grizzlies

$0 Vol.

21%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

21%

Milwaukee Bucks

$0 Vol.

21%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

21%

New Orleans Pelicans

$0 Vol.

21%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

21%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

21%

Sacramento Kings

$0 Vol.

21%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

21%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

21%

Utah Jazz

$0 Vol.

21%

Washington Wizards

$0 Vol.

21%

Brooklyn Nets

$0 Vol.

13%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

11%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$0 Vol.

11%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

11%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

11%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The new 2026-27 NBA draft lottery format, expanding eligibility to 16 teams with flatter ball distributions and a relegation zone capping the bottom three clubs’ upside, has equalized implied probabilities across potential lottery squads. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, keeping multiple teams bunched near 50 percent amid uncertain preseason projections for rebuild candidates such as the Nets, Kings, Jazz, Bulls, and Pelicans. Roster turnover, recent trades, and variable win-total outlooks further sustain the tight race, as no single franchise has separated itself in early simulations or power rankings. The wisdom of crowds embedded in current pricing underscores how the revised system reduces extreme tanking incentives while preserving realistic paths for several clubs to land the top selection.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The new 2026-27 NBA draft lottery format, expanding eligibility to 16 teams with flatter ball distributions and a relegation zone capping the bottom three clubs’ upside, has equalized implied probabilities across potential lottery squads. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift, keeping multiple teams bunched near 50 percent amid uncertain preseason projections for rebuild candidates such as the Nets, Kings, Jazz, Bulls, and Pelicans. Roster turnover, recent trades, and variable win-total outlooks further sustain the tight race, as no single franchise has separated itself in early simulations or power rankings. The wisdom of crowds embedded in current pricing underscores how the revised system reduces extreme tanking incentives while preserving realistic paths for several clubs to land the top selection.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brooklyn Nets" at 13%, followed by "Atlanta Hawks" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is "Brooklyn Nets" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Atlanta Hawks" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.