Incumbent Dina Titus maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her established incumbency, and consistent primary performance where she secured roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The district’s voter registration edge and Titus’s prior reelection margin contribute to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Carrie Buck, the Republican nominee and state senator who won her primary decisively, has raised competitive funds and received national party support, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,495 Vol.
$15,495 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
91%
Carrie Buck (R)
9%
$15,495 Vol.
$15,495 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
$4,130 Vol.
91%
Carrie Buck (R)
$11,365 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dina Titus maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her established incumbency, and consistent primary performance where she secured roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The district’s voter registration edge and Titus’s prior reelection margin contribute to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Carrie Buck, the Republican nominee and state senator who won her primary decisively, has raised competitive funds and received national party support, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$15,495End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dina Titus maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her established incumbency, and consistent primary performance where she secured roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The district’s voter registration edge and Titus’s prior reelection margin contribute to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Carrie Buck, the Republican nominee and state senator who won her primary decisively, has raised competitive funds and received national party support, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,495End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Dina Titus maintains a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her established incumbency, and consistent primary performance where she secured roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The district’s voter registration edge and Titus’s prior reelection margin contribute to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Carrie Buck, the Republican nominee and state senator who won her primary decisively, has raised competitive funds and received national party support, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Democrats. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, unusually high GOP turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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