Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

$37,804 Vol.

Jan 20, 2027
Polymarket

$37,804 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Damon

$3,117 Vol.

89%

John Malkovich

$347 Vol.

80%

Andrew Scott

$7,290 Vol.

71%

Tom Cruise

$5,209 Vol.

59%

Robert Pattinson

$665 Vol.

48%

Ryan Gosling

$5,032 Vol.

43%

Sebastian Stan

$1,018 Vol.

30%

Timothée Chalamet

$4,669 Vol.

28%

Pedro Pascal

$1,075 Vol.

18%

Adam Driver

$73 Vol.

17%

Jaafar Jackson

$535 Vol.

13%

John Turturro

$1,331 Vol.

13%

Jeremy Strong

$3,542 Vol.

11%

Robert Aramayo

$466 Vol.

8%

Javier Bardem

$439 Vol.

7%

Brad Pitt

$1,811 Vol.

6%

Sam Rockwell

$960 Vol.

6%

Josh O'Connor

$225 Vol.

6%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile star vehicles and overdue narratives, with Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, and John Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine emerging as early focal points. These projects benefit from major studio backing, director prestige, and box-office tracking, positioning them for broad industry support ahead of eligibility cutoff. Andrew Scott and Pedro Pascal also draw attention in ensemble-driven films. With nominations voting scheduled for mid-January 2027, fall festival premieres and guild precursor buzz will shape momentum, though the field remains fluid given limited critical consensus so far.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,804
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile star vehicles and overdue narratives, with Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, and John Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine emerging as early focal points. These projects benefit from major studio backing, director prestige, and box-office tracking, positioning them for broad industry support ahead of eligibility cutoff. Andrew Scott and Pedro Pascal also draw attention in ensemble-driven films. With nominations voting scheduled for mid-January 2027, fall festival premieres and guild precursor buzz will shape momentum, though the field remains fluid given limited critical consensus so far.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,804
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

27%
icon for Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

97%
icon for Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

50%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 89%, followed by "John Malkovich" at 80%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" has generated $37.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is "Matt Damon" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Malkovich" at 80%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.