Yordan Alvarez's overwhelming 93.5% implied probability reflects his Triple Crown-caliber campaign for the Astros, where he leads the AL in batting average (.317), home runs (37), and RBIs (94) while posting elite marks in OBP (.434), slugging (.601), and OPS (1.035). Aaron Judge's season-long absence removed the prior dominant force, allowing Alvarez to separate decisively with consistent power and plate discipline across 140 games. Challengers like Junior Caminero, Bobby Witt Jr., and Ben Rice trail significantly in key categories and overall value metrics. A late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented September surge by a rival could still shift the outcome before BBWAA voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYordan Alvarez 93.5%
Junior Caminero 2.3%
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.8%
Ben Rice 1.3%
$1,018,973 Vol.
$1,018,973 Vol.
Nov 12, 2026
Yordan Alvarez
94%
Junior Caminero
2%
Bobby Witt Jr.
2%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Julio Rodriguez
<1%
Jose Ramirez
<1%
Dillon Dingler
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Byron Buxton
<1%
Wilson Contreras
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 93.5%
Junior Caminero 2.3%
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.8%
Ben Rice 1.3%
$1,018,973 Vol.
$1,018,973 Vol.
Nov 12, 2026
Yordan Alvarez
$34,397 Vol.
94%
Junior Caminero
$715 Vol.
2%
Bobby Witt Jr.
$22,048 Vol.
2%
Ben Rice
$2,922 Vol.
1%
Nick Kurtz
$4,889 Vol.
1%
Julio Rodriguez
$43,249 Vol.
<1%
Jose Ramirez
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
Dillon Dingler
$657 Vol.
<1%
Gunnar Henderson
$26,749 Vol.
<1%
Corey Seager
$310,923 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$558,775 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$8,676 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
$2,315 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$409 Vol.
<1%
Byron Buxton
$161 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Contreras
$246 Vol.
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
$161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez's overwhelming 93.5% implied probability reflects his Triple Crown-caliber campaign for the Astros, where he leads the AL in batting average (.317), home runs (37), and RBIs (94) while posting elite marks in OBP (.434), slugging (.601), and OPS (1.035). Aaron Judge's season-long absence removed the prior dominant force, allowing Alvarez to separate decisively with consistent power and plate discipline across 140 games. Challengers like Junior Caminero, Bobby Witt Jr., and Ben Rice trail significantly in key categories and overall value metrics. A late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented September surge by a rival could still shift the outcome before BBWAA voting concludes.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,018,973End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez's overwhelming 93.5% implied probability reflects his Triple Crown-caliber campaign for the Astros, where he leads the AL in batting average (.317), home runs (37), and RBIs (94) while posting elite marks in OBP (.434), slugging (.601), and OPS (1.035). Aaron Judge's season-long absence removed the prior dominant force, allowing Alvarez to separate decisively with consistent power and plate discipline across 140 games. Challengers like Junior Caminero, Bobby Witt Jr., and Ben Rice trail significantly in key categories and overall value metrics. A late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented September surge by a rival could still shift the outcome before BBWAA voting concludes.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,018,973End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez's overwhelming 93.5% implied probability reflects his Triple Crown-caliber campaign for the Astros, where he leads the AL in batting average (.317), home runs (37), and RBIs (94) while posting elite marks in OBP (.434), slugging (.601), and OPS (1.035). Aaron Judge's season-long absence removed the prior dominant force, allowing Alvarez to separate decisively with consistent power and plate discipline across 140 games. Challengers like Junior Caminero, Bobby Witt Jr., and Ben Rice trail significantly in key categories and overall value metrics. A late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented September surge by a rival could still shift the outcome before BBWAA voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions