Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks’ established starter under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, following a Super Bowl LX victory in 2025 where he posted 4,048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, a career-best 67.7% completion rate, and 14 interceptions. The offense retains top target Jaxon Smith-Njigba and adds motion elements, but faces questions at running back after Kenneth Walker’s departure and Zach Charbonnet’s early-season PUP placement, shifting emphasis toward rookie backs and the passing game. Darnold’s high 2026 cap hit and performance incentives align with expectations for sustained efficiency, though the receiving corps depth beyond Smith-Njigba and schedule strength will influence touchdown volume in a league where regression often follows championship campaigns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Jan 12, 2027
17.5+ passing TDs
66%
20.5+ passing TDs
63%
23.5+ passing TDs
48%
26.5+ passing TDs
37%
29.5+ passing TDs
21%
$42 Vol.
17.5+ passing TDs
$0 Vol.
66%
20.5+ passing TDs
$0 Vol.
63%
23.5+ passing TDs
$0 Vol.
48%
26.5+ passing TDs
$42 Vol.
37%
29.5+ passing TDs
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 20.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 23.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 26.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 29.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks’ established starter under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, following a Super Bowl LX victory in 2025 where he posted 4,048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, a career-best 67.7% completion rate, and 14 interceptions. The offense retains top target Jaxon Smith-Njigba and adds motion elements, but faces questions at running back after Kenneth Walker’s departure and Zach Charbonnet’s early-season PUP placement, shifting emphasis toward rookie backs and the passing game. Darnold’s high 2026 cap hit and performance incentives align with expectations for sustained efficiency, though the receiving corps depth beyond Smith-Njigba and schedule strength will influence touchdown volume in a league where regression often follows championship campaigns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Volume
$42End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 20.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 23.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 26.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 29.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks’ established starter under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, following a Super Bowl LX victory in 2025 where he posted 4,048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, a career-best 67.7% completion rate, and 14 interceptions. The offense retains top target Jaxon Smith-Njigba and adds motion elements, but faces questions at running back after Kenneth Walker’s departure and Zach Charbonnet’s early-season PUP placement, shifting emphasis toward rookie backs and the passing game. Darnold’s high 2026 cap hit and performance incentives align with expectations for sustained efficiency, though the receiving corps depth beyond Smith-Njigba and schedule strength will influence touchdown volume in a league where regression often follows championship campaigns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks’ established starter under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, following a Super Bowl LX victory in 2025 where he posted 4,048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, a career-best 67.7% completion rate, and 14 interceptions. The offense retains top target Jaxon Smith-Njigba and adds motion elements, but faces questions at running back after Kenneth Walker’s departure and Zach Charbonnet’s early-season PUP placement, shifting emphasis toward rookie backs and the passing game. Darnold’s high 2026 cap hit and performance incentives align with expectations for sustained efficiency, though the receiving corps depth beyond Smith-Njigba and schedule strength will influence touchdown volume in a league where regression often follows championship campaigns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions