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Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 61.3%

Nassourdine Imavov 22.9%

Khamzat Chimaev 15%

Dricus Du Plessis 2.5%

Polymarket

$919,314 Vol.

Sean Strickland 61.3%

Nassourdine Imavov 22.9%

Khamzat Chimaev 15%

Dricus Du Plessis 2.5%

Polymarket

$919,314 Vol.

Sean Strickland

$32,016 Vol.

61%

Nassourdine Imavov

$23,478 Vol.

23%

Khamzat Chimaev

$80,519 Vol.

15%

Dricus Du Plessis

$37,038 Vol.

3%

Israel Adesanya

$133,719 Vol.

<1%

Jared Cannonier

$72,603 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Hernandez

$73,492 Vol.

<1%

Caio Borralho

$167,876 Vol.

<1%

Robert Whittaker

$72,756 Vol.

<1%

Joe Pyfer

$2,427 Vol.

<1%

Brendan Allen

$166,699 Vol.

<1%

Reinier de Ridder

$56,692 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Sean Strickland holds the strongest position as the current UFC middleweight champion following his split-decision upset over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026, giving him incumbency and recent momentum in a division where title opportunities remain limited. Nassourdine Imavov sits second with a five-fight win streak and explicit positioning as the likely next title challenger, backed by Strickland’s public support and strong performances against top contenders. Chimaev retains notable backing despite the loss due to his prior dominance and calls for an immediate rematch or high-profile bouts against Dricus du Plessis and others. Du Plessis, a former champion with prior wins over Strickland, has climbed back with a recent victory over Kamaru Usman but trails further behind in the current hierarchy. Strickland’s targeted December return and potential defenses through year-end reinforce trader consensus around his retention odds through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$919,314
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Sean Strickland holds the strongest position as the current UFC middleweight champion following his split-decision upset over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026, giving him incumbency and recent momentum in a division where title opportunities remain limited. Nassourdine Imavov sits second with a five-fight win streak and explicit positioning as the likely next title challenger, backed by Strickland’s public support and strong performances against top contenders. Chimaev retains notable backing despite the loss due to his prior dominance and calls for an immediate rematch or high-profile bouts against Dricus du Plessis and others. Du Plessis, a former champion with prior wins over Strickland, has climbed back with a recent victory over Kamaru Usman but trails further behind in the current hierarchy. Strickland’s targeted December return and potential defenses through year-end reinforce trader consensus around his retention odds through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$919,314
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 61%, followed by "Nassourdine Imavov" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $919.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nassourdine Imavov" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.