Incumbent Drew Dilkens leads the Windsor, Ontario mayoral race at 60.5% implied probability ahead of the October 26 municipal election, reflecting his 12-year tenure, recent nomination filing, and framing of the contest around continuity for major projects like Sandwich South development amid economic pressures. Ward 1 Councillor Fred Francis trails at 37.5% as the primary challenger, emphasizing tax restraint, debt reduction, affordability, and downtown revitalization in a campaign positioned against the status quo. The remaining nine candidates, including Benjamin Danyluk, register negligible odds below 2%, consistent with a crowded but low-visibility field after nominations closed in late August. Trader consensus incorporates Dilkens’ incumbency edge and explicit pledge of a final term without new disruptions in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWindsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Drew Dilkens 61%
Fred Francis 38%
Benjamin Danyluk 1.9%
Aaron Day <1%

Drew Dilkens
61%

Fred Francis
38%

Benjamin Danyluk
2%

Aaron Day
<1%

Kat Pasquach
<1%

Patrick Sutherland
<1%
Drew Dilkens 61%
Fred Francis 38%
Benjamin Danyluk 1.9%
Aaron Day <1%

Drew Dilkens
61%

Fred Francis
38%

Benjamin Danyluk
2%

Aaron Day
<1%

Kat Pasquach
<1%

Patrick Sutherland
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Windsor, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Windsor, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Windsor, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Windsor, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Drew Dilkens leads the Windsor, Ontario mayoral race at 60.5% implied probability ahead of the October 26 municipal election, reflecting his 12-year tenure, recent nomination filing, and framing of the contest around continuity for major projects like Sandwich South development amid economic pressures. Ward 1 Councillor Fred Francis trails at 37.5% as the primary challenger, emphasizing tax restraint, debt reduction, affordability, and downtown revitalization in a campaign positioned against the status quo. The remaining nine candidates, including Benjamin Danyluk, register negligible odds below 2%, consistent with a crowded but low-visibility field after nominations closed in late August. Trader consensus incorporates Dilkens’ incumbency edge and explicit pledge of a final term without new disruptions in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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