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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas

Omar Aziz 57%

Professeure Maria do Carmo 28%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,527 Vol.

Omar Aziz 57%

Professeure Maria do Carmo 28%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,527 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$8,877 Vol.

57%

icon for Professeure Maria do Carmo

Professeure Maria do Carmo

$5,391 Vol.

28%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$4,178 Vol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$1,851 Vol.

1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$1,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,776 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,527
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,527
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Oui
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78%
Oui
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58%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Omar Aziz » à 57%, suivi de « Professeure Maria do Carmo » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » a généré $25.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » est « Omar Aziz » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Professeure Maria do Carmo » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.