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icon for Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place

Eduardo Braga 72%

Capitão Alberto Neto 9.6%

Plinio Valério 2.6%

Wilson Lima 2.5%

Polymarket

$38,151 Vol.

Eduardo Braga 72%

Capitão Alberto Neto 9.6%

Plinio Valério 2.6%

Wilson Lima 2.5%

Polymarket

$38,151 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$20,346 Vol.

72%

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$6,922 Vol.

10%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$3,517 Vol.

10%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$3,513 Vol.

2%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$563 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professeure Evany

Professeure Evany

$858 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$916 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking a third term, holds the strongest position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent leads in multiple polls through September 2026 and his established name recognition across the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and earlier June-July releases, place him ahead in first-vote scenarios with support often exceeding 25-36%, bolstered by strength in the interior and a broad coalition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails as the primary challenger at lower implied probability, drawing backing mainly in Manaus on security-focused messaging, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register minimal shares amid competition for the second seat. With voting set for October 4 and voters selecting two senators, trader consensus reflects Braga's structural advantages in turnout and regional distribution over less established or lower-polling contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,151
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking a third term, holds the strongest position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent leads in multiple polls through September 2026 and his established name recognition across the state. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and earlier June-July releases, place him ahead in first-vote scenarios with support often exceeding 25-36%, bolstered by strength in the interior and a broad coalition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails as the primary challenger at lower implied probability, drawing backing mainly in Manaus on security-focused messaging, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register minimal shares amid competition for the second seat. With voting set for October 4 and voters selecting two senators, trader consensus reflects Braga's structural advantages in turnout and regional distribution over less established or lower-polling contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,151
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Capitão Alberto Neto obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

57%
Oui
icon for Helder remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pará en 2026 ?

Helder remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pará en 2026 ?

79%
Oui
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

86%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Braga » à 72%, suivi de « Capitão Alberto Neto » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 72¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place » a généré $38.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place » est « Eduardo Braga » à 72%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Capitão Alberto Neto » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale d'Amazonas : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.