Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 60-62% in the first round against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 27-28%. This positioning stems from his strong performance in the June 2026 special election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilization timing, and from backing by former governor Antonio Denarium. Other registered candidates, including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno, register minimal support. The first-round vote on October 4 could resolve the outcome outright if he maintains an absolute majority; a court ruling invalidating his registration or a late consolidation of opposition votes represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.5%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
4%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Clébio Genuíno
1%
Rosi Aires
1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.5%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
4%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 Vol.
1%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 60-62% in the first round against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 27-28%. This positioning stems from his strong performance in the June 2026 special election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilization timing, and from backing by former governor Antonio Denarium. Other registered candidates, including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno, register minimal support. The first-round vote on October 4 could resolve the outcome outright if he maintains an absolute majority; a court ruling invalidating his registration or a late consolidation of opposition votes represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,639Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 60-62% in the first round against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 27-28%. This positioning stems from his strong performance in the June 2026 special election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilization timing, and from backing by former governor Antonio Denarium. Other registered candidates, including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno, register minimal support. The first-round vote on October 4 could resolve the outcome outright if he maintains an absolute majority; a court ruling invalidating his registration or a late consolidation of opposition votes represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,639Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 60-62% in the first round against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 27-28%. This positioning stems from his strong performance in the June 2026 special election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilization timing, and from backing by former governor Antonio Denarium. Other registered candidates, including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno, register minimal support. The first-round vote on October 4 could resolve the outcome outright if he maintains an absolute majority; a court ruling invalidating his registration or a late consolidation of opposition votes represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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