California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$25,535 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$24,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$49,908Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,908Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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