The top-two primary in California’s 7th Congressional District produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang, eliminating Republican candidates from contention on November 3. This structural outcome in a solidly Democratic Sacramento-area seat has driven the near-certain Democratic Party pricing, consistent with historical performance and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the district safe or solid Democratic. Traders have incorporated the absence of a viable Republican path, long-term partisan leanings, and standard incumbent advantages in similar districts. A Democratic victory remains the only realistic resolution absent an unforeseen disqualification or legal barrier that alters ballot eligibility before certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
1%
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,634 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$6,147 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The top-two primary in California’s 7th Congressional District produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang, eliminating Republican candidates from contention on November 3. This structural outcome in a solidly Democratic Sacramento-area seat has driven the near-certain Democratic Party pricing, consistent with historical performance and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the district safe or solid Democratic. Traders have incorporated the absence of a viable Republican path, long-term partisan leanings, and standard incumbent advantages in similar districts. A Democratic victory remains the only realistic resolution absent an unforeseen disqualification or legal barrier that alters ballot eligibility before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$12,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The top-two primary in California’s 7th Congressional District produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang, eliminating Republican candidates from contention on November 3. This structural outcome in a solidly Democratic Sacramento-area seat has driven the near-certain Democratic Party pricing, consistent with historical performance and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the district safe or solid Democratic. Traders have incorporated the absence of a viable Republican path, long-term partisan leanings, and standard incumbent advantages in similar districts. A Democratic victory remains the only realistic resolution absent an unforeseen disqualification or legal barrier that alters ballot eligibility before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The top-two primary in California’s 7th Congressional District produced an all-Democratic general election matchup between incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang, eliminating Republican candidates from contention on November 3. This structural outcome in a solidly Democratic Sacramento-area seat has driven the near-certain Democratic Party pricing, consistent with historical performance and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the district safe or solid Democratic. Traders have incorporated the absence of a viable Republican path, long-term partisan leanings, and standard incumbent advantages in similar districts. A Democratic victory remains the only realistic resolution absent an unforeseen disqualification or legal barrier that alters ballot eligibility before certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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