Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination in Colorado’s 8th District primary on June 30 by defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird with roughly 61% of the vote, setting up a November 3 general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who faced no primary opposition. The district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with Evans having flipped it from Democratic control in 2024 by under 1 percentage point in a race both parties view as pivotal for majority control. Key factors shaping trader consensus include the district’s roughly 40% Latino population, recent narrow margins, Evans’ substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and national Democratic super PAC investments targeting the seat. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify it a toss-up, while some models lean Democratic, reflecting the closely divided electorate and limited late-cycle developments since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$17,950 Vol.
$17,950 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Manny Rutinel (D)
81%
Gabe Evans (R)
18%
$17,950 Vol.
$17,950 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Manny Rutinel (D)
$9,529 Vol.
81%
Gabe Evans (R)
$8,421 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination in Colorado’s 8th District primary on June 30 by defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird with roughly 61% of the vote, setting up a November 3 general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who faced no primary opposition. The district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with Evans having flipped it from Democratic control in 2024 by under 1 percentage point in a race both parties view as pivotal for majority control. Key factors shaping trader consensus include the district’s roughly 40% Latino population, recent narrow margins, Evans’ substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and national Democratic super PAC investments targeting the seat. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify it a toss-up, while some models lean Democratic, reflecting the closely divided electorate and limited late-cycle developments since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$17,950Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination in Colorado’s 8th District primary on June 30 by defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird with roughly 61% of the vote, setting up a November 3 general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who faced no primary opposition. The district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with Evans having flipped it from Democratic control in 2024 by under 1 percentage point in a race both parties view as pivotal for majority control. Key factors shaping trader consensus include the district’s roughly 40% Latino population, recent narrow margins, Evans’ substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and national Democratic super PAC investments targeting the seat. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify it a toss-up, while some models lean Democratic, reflecting the closely divided electorate and limited late-cycle developments since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,950Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination in Colorado’s 8th District primary on June 30 by defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird with roughly 61% of the vote, setting up a November 3 general election against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who faced no primary opposition. The district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with Evans having flipped it from Democratic control in 2024 by under 1 percentage point in a race both parties view as pivotal for majority control. Key factors shaping trader consensus include the district’s roughly 40% Latino population, recent narrow margins, Evans’ substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and national Democratic super PAC investments targeting the seat. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify it a toss-up, while some models lean Democratic, reflecting the closely divided electorate and limited late-cycle developments since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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