Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the 2026 Florida governor race due to his commanding fundraising edge, with over $40 million in cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s roughly $6 million combined, and unified Republican support following his August primary victory. Trump and DeSantis endorsements, plus Florida’s Republican voter registration advantage and decades of GOP control of the governorship since 1999, bolster his position heading into the November 3 election. Recent polls show a statistical tie or slight Donalds edge, yet trader consensus prices in the party’s structural strengths and Jolly’s limited resources as decisive. Jolly’s September decision to skip debates, citing campaign ads and scheduling disputes, has not shifted the outlook materially. The six-week timeline leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
$88,148 Vol.
$88,148 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
David Jolly (D)
21%
$88,148 Vol.
$88,148 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$48,488 Vol.
80%
David Jolly (D)
$39,660 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the 2026 Florida governor race due to his commanding fundraising edge, with over $40 million in cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s roughly $6 million combined, and unified Republican support following his August primary victory. Trump and DeSantis endorsements, plus Florida’s Republican voter registration advantage and decades of GOP control of the governorship since 1999, bolster his position heading into the November 3 election. Recent polls show a statistical tie or slight Donalds edge, yet trader consensus prices in the party’s structural strengths and Jolly’s limited resources as decisive. Jolly’s September decision to skip debates, citing campaign ads and scheduling disputes, has not shifted the outlook materially. The six-week timeline leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$88,148Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the 2026 Florida governor race due to his commanding fundraising edge, with over $40 million in cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s roughly $6 million combined, and unified Republican support following his August primary victory. Trump and DeSantis endorsements, plus Florida’s Republican voter registration advantage and decades of GOP control of the governorship since 1999, bolster his position heading into the November 3 election. Recent polls show a statistical tie or slight Donalds edge, yet trader consensus prices in the party’s structural strengths and Jolly’s limited resources as decisive. Jolly’s September decision to skip debates, citing campaign ads and scheduling disputes, has not shifted the outlook materially. The six-week timeline leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$88,148Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the 2026 Florida governor race due to his commanding fundraising edge, with over $40 million in cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s roughly $6 million combined, and unified Republican support following his August primary victory. Trump and DeSantis endorsements, plus Florida’s Republican voter registration advantage and decades of GOP control of the governorship since 1999, bolster his position heading into the November 3 election. Recent polls show a statistical tie or slight Donalds edge, yet trader consensus prices in the party’s structural strengths and Jolly’s limited resources as decisive. Jolly’s September decision to skip debates, citing campaign ads and scheduling disputes, has not shifted the outlook materially. The six-week timeline leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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