Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a substantial edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his long record in office, overwhelming fundraising advantage, and the state's Republican-leaning electorate. Recent polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with some surveys tightening to within the margin of error and one placing Democrat Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead among likely voters. Forecasters have shifted the contest from solid to likely Republican as independents and certain demographic groups show more movement toward Hinojosa. Traders price Abbott's reelection prospects at 77.5 percent, reflecting his structural strengths while incorporating the narrower-than-expected polling gap and ongoing campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Texas
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Texas
$114,510 Vol.
$114,510 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
78%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
23%
$114,510 Vol.
$114,510 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
$49,737 Vol.
78%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
$64,773 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a substantial edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his long record in office, overwhelming fundraising advantage, and the state's Republican-leaning electorate. Recent polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with some surveys tightening to within the margin of error and one placing Democrat Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead among likely voters. Forecasters have shifted the contest from solid to likely Republican as independents and certain demographic groups show more movement toward Hinojosa. Traders price Abbott's reelection prospects at 77.5 percent, reflecting his structural strengths while incorporating the narrower-than-expected polling gap and ongoing campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$114,510Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a substantial edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his long record in office, overwhelming fundraising advantage, and the state's Republican-leaning electorate. Recent polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with some surveys tightening to within the margin of error and one placing Democrat Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead among likely voters. Forecasters have shifted the contest from solid to likely Republican as independents and certain demographic groups show more movement toward Hinojosa. Traders price Abbott's reelection prospects at 77.5 percent, reflecting his structural strengths while incorporating the narrower-than-expected polling gap and ongoing campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$114,510Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a substantial edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race due to his long record in office, overwhelming fundraising advantage, and the state's Republican-leaning electorate. Recent polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with some surveys tightening to within the margin of error and one placing Democrat Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead among likely voters. Forecasters have shifted the contest from solid to likely Republican as independents and certain demographic groups show more movement toward Hinojosa. Traders price Abbott's reelection prospects at 77.5 percent, reflecting his structural strengths while incorporating the narrower-than-expected polling gap and ongoing campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes